NBA Draft Lottery Proposal

There have been a ton of NBA Draft Lottery ideas kicking around since the Philadelphia 76ers started their recent tanking odyssey.  Recently at FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver summarized several of the options and put forward his own wins-based proposal. The idea behind that tweak to the system is to reduce the “value” of any given loss.  … [Read more…]

Historical NBA ASPM (and Hall Rating) Released

At long last, historical Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus and VORP has been released! The permanent page is located at Reminder: the full statistical derivation for Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus and Value over Replacement Player is available for critique. In addition, this visualization is including Hall Rating, a new stat modeled after the Hall of Stats’ approach … [Read more…]

NCAA Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus Released

Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus (ASPM) is now available for NCAA Division 1 Men’s Basketball! ASPM was originally derived for the NBA, but the weights found for each event, as well as the methods for adjusting for opposition, should be equally valid for college basketball. The full Tableau visualization will be permanently located at, under the … [Read more…]