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2014 ASPM

Here is the 2013-2014 version of ASPM!

There have been a couple of tweaks to the formula (no USG^2 term now, and added a linear AST term); discussion will be forthcoming. New spreadsheet (deals with Basketball Reference’s tweaks to their tables) on Google Docs.

A reminder: ASPM is not Adjusted Plus/Minus.  ASPM is a box-score stat and has the limitations thereof.

8 Responses to 2014 ASPM

  1. A Sheep in Sheep’s Clothing – Hardwood Paroxysm on November 22, 2013 at 2:23 pm

    […] exactly what piques my curiosity. I picked Butler and Korver because over the past two season their Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus ratings have been nearly identical. Suspending any disbelief you might have about the general […]

  2. […] in my Eastern Conference look, I used Daniel Myers current Advanced Statistical Plus Minus (ASPM), a box score based player metric, and compared it to my preseason projection of each […]

  3. Kevin Durant on December 23, 2013 at 10:27 am

    I was wondering if it would be easier for non-frequent visitors of the website if you made good defense a positive number, instead of a negative number.

    • DanielM on December 23, 2013 at 1:00 pm

      Yeah, I’ve thought about that. I may do that.

  4. Room To Breathe | Mavericks Outsider Report on January 27, 2014 at 12:46 pm

    […] Plus/Minus (D-ASPM). This is a box scored based measurement of overall defensive performance, developed by Daniel Myers. That’s a healthy individual number but one that didn’t exactly translate to a huge […]

  5. key4 geo1 | key4, geo1 | key1, geo1 on January 28, 2014 at 1:12 am

    […] from the sideline-to-sideline wrecking ball we’re accustomed to seeing defensively, and some advanced metrics have him pegged as a net minus on that […]

  6. […] particular project is ongoing, though some advanced statistical resources already give Jordan amazingly high marks. On a simpler level, he’s […]

  7. Blogcat’s Take, 2/22 | Bobcats Planet on February 22, 2014 at 5:42 pm

    […] dead last on the Bucks in net-rating, he had the worst defensive advanced plus-minus on the team (3.75, nearly double that of the next guy, OJ Mayo), and he was last in VORP. Basically, if sucking were […]

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To-Do List

  1. Salary and contract value discussions and charts
  2. Multi-year APM/RAPM with aging incorporated
  3. Revise ASPM based on multi-year RAPM with aging
  4. ASPM within-year stability/cross validation
  5. Historical ASPM Tableau visualizations
  6. Create Excel VBA recursive web scraping tutorial
  7. Comparison of residual exponents for rankings
  8. Comparison of various "value metrics" ability to "explain" wins
  9. Publication of spreadsheets used
  10. Work on using Bayesian priors in Adjusted +/-
  11. Work on K-Means clustering for player categorization
  12. Learn ridge regression
  13. Temporally locally-weighted rankings
  14. WOWY as validation of replacement level
  15. Revise ASPM with latest RAPM data
  16. Conversion of ASPM to" wins"
  17. Lineup Bayesian APM
  18. Lineup RAPM
  19. Learn SQL