I have added another pane to my 2012-13 ASPM/VORP Tableau Visualization, allowing a better look at the distribution of talent across positions in the NBA. Powered by Tableau The new position vs. ASPM chart is quite interesting: there is an amazing lack of talent/performance right now at the 2,3, and 4 positions outside of...
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Tags: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Statistics, Tableau Charts, Visualization, VORP
Posted in NBA Stats | No Comments »
A quick note: 2012-2013 ASPM & VORP have now been released! See the new 2013 ASPM page. A few early notes: The cream is already rising to the top after 4 to 8 games for each team. LeBron James is #1 in total VORP, with an ASPM almost exactly the same as last year....
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Tags: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Statistics, Tableau Charts, VORP
Posted in NBA Stats | No Comments »
Here are my 2013 NBA Team Projections, based on my ASPM player projections. For playing time, I roughly used ESPN’s Fantasy Projections, tweaked so each team totaled 475% of the minutes (I assumed the rest of the minutes would go to replacement level (-3.25) players). Here are my regular season projections: I have updated...
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Tags: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Projections, Statistics, Team Ratings
Posted in NBA Stats | 9 Comments »
This is some old data, used in the derivation & analysis of Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus (ASPM), but I thought I’d repost it here in a more sortable/filterable/useable form. Regularized Adjusted Plus/Minus (RAPM) data from Jeremias Engelmann. Powered by Tableau
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Tags: Adjusted +/-, Advanced SPM, Charts, NBA, RAPM, Statistics, Tableau Charts, Visualization
Posted in NBA Stats | No Comments »
Just playing around with Tagxedo. Here are the top 100 players of the 2012 NBA regular season, as measured by VORP-Gm (VORP per game played), only including play for the team the player ended up with (if traded).
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Tags: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Visualization
Posted in NBA Stats | No Comments »
Inspired by Evan Zamir’s use of a treemap to visualize WARP over at The City, I created a treemap to visualize ASPM VORP for the 2012 season-to-date. I used Google Docs and the treemap-gviz widget to construct the visualization. I used the latest iteration of the ASPM framework to compile the data, and selected...
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Tags: Advanced SPM, Charts, NBA, Treemap, Visualization
Posted in NBA Stats | 2 Comments »
Carmelo Anthony was FINALLY traded yesterday, in a mega 3-team deal. How did the teams make out? There are several good trade analyses around, but none of them are really focusing on the financial aspect. Kevin Pelton’s article is a good primer on the trade as a starting point, and Joe Treutlein at Hoopdata...
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Tags: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Projections, Salaries, Statistics, Trade Analysis, VORP
Posted in NBA Stats | 9 Comments »
Well, everyone else has an All-Star post up already: The actual All-Stars Mike G at APBR, with his eWins selections (also PER shown) (his thread inspired me to write this up) EvanZ, with his ezPM on the West and East All-Stars Kevin Pelton, with his WARP All-Stars John Hollinger’s look at ESPN Zach Lowe’s...
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Tags: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Statistics, VORP
Posted in Advanced SPM, NBA Stats | 9 Comments »
The ASPM spreadsheet (download here) has a sheet for estimating a game’s results, based on team rest, location, and the rotation of players expected to play. For a quick example, I’ll look at the Magic vs. Heat game this evening. Here’s the sheet: I estimated the minutes each player would play based upon the...
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Tags: Advanced SPM, Game Prediction, NBA, Projections, Statistics
Posted in Advanced SPM, ASPM Prediction, NBA Stats | 1 Comment »
Yesterday’s Thunder-Heat game was a fun game to watch and a great game to investigate. Oklahoma City started out with a significant advantage in this game: OKC was at home (worth 3.24 pts/100 poss) and was playing on 1 day of rest (+1.94), while Miami was playing their 3rd game in 4 days, and...
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Tags: Advanced SPM, Box Score Analysis, NBA, Stat Theory, Statistics
Posted in Advanced SPM, ASPM Box Score, NBA Stats | 6 Comments »