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Posts Tagged ‘ Trade Analysis ’

With-or-Without-You Compilation

April 15, 2011
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A collection of With-or-Without-You tables for playoff teams.  All regressions were stabilized with about 30 games worth of “average for the team” performance.  Not all regressions have the last game of the season included. Oklahoma City Thunder: WOWY equally weighted over season Eff Mar Off Eff Def Eff Games Equiv+/- Team 9.4 8.1 -1.3...
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Posted in NBA Rankings, NBA Stats, WOWY | No Comments »

With or Without You: OKC, Perk, and Nazr

April 13, 2011
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With or Without You: OKC, Perk, and Nazr

In continuing my series of With-or-Without-You (WOWY) analyses, I will next look at my hometown Oklahoma City Thunder, one of the hottest teams going into the playoffs. In the first two posts on WOWY, I looked at Oklahoma City in January(before the trades), and yesterday I looked at the Bulls and their strength...
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Posted in NBA Adjusted Efficiencies, NBA Stats, WOWY | 4 Comments »

The Carmelo Trade

February 22, 2011
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The Carmelo Trade

Carmelo Anthony was FINALLY traded yesterday, in a mega 3-team deal. How did the teams make out? There are several good trade analyses around, but none of them are really focusing on the financial aspect. Kevin Pelton’s article is a good primer on the trade as a starting point, and Joe Treutlein at Hoopdata...
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Posted in NBA Stats | 9 Comments »

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To-Do List

  1. Google Motion Charts for each position, including salary and contract value
  2. Discussion of salary/contract value
  3. Aging curves for individual components (ORB%, Blk%, etc.)
  4. Comparison of residual exponents for rankings
  5. Comparison of various "value metrics" ability to "explain" wins
  6. Publication of spreadsheets used
  7. Work on using Bayesian priors in Adjusted +/-
  8. Work on K-Means clustering for player categorization
  9. Learn ridge regression
  10. Temporally locally-weighted rankings
  11. WOWY as validation of replacement level
  12. Revise ASPM with latest RAPM data
  13. Conversion of ASPM to" wins"
  14. Recursive WOWY Team Ratings
  15. Lineup Bayesian APM
  16. Lineup RAPM