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Posts Tagged ‘ Box Score Analysis ’

Visualization: The Brightest Stars in the NBA

April 27, 2011
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Visualization: The Brightest Stars in the NBA

I’m working on a new metric to quickly measure a player’s single-game contribution (a slightly more complex “game score”). I’ve tabulated the results for every game played this year, and that lets me do this: Here are the brightest stars in the NBA, by dominant superstar performances this year. I’m giving 3 points for...
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Posted in NBA Stats | 6 Comments »

ASPM Box Score: Thunder-Heat

January 31, 2011
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ASPM Box Score: Thunder-Heat

Yesterday’s Thunder-Heat game was a fun game to watch and a great game to investigate. Oklahoma City started out with a significant advantage in this game: OKC was at home (worth 3.24 pts/100 poss) and was playing on 1 day of rest (+1.94), while Miami was playing their 3rd game in 4 days, and...
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Posted in Advanced SPM, ASPM Box Score, NBA Stats | 6 Comments »

ASPM Box Score: Spurs-Celtics

January 6, 2011
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ASPM Box Score: Spurs-Celtics

Recently, I developed a method for analyzing single games through the Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus (ASPM) lens. Basically, in order to keep the data in the range where the weights for the stats makes sense (some of the weights are nonlinear), I add several games worth of average stats to the player’s stat line. I...
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Posted in Advanced SPM, ASPM Box Score, NBA Stats | 3 Comments »

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To-Do List

  1. Salary and contract value discussions and charts
  2. Multi-year APM/RAPM with aging incorporated
  3. Revise ASPM based on multi-year RAPM with aging
  4. ASPM within-year stability/cross validation
  5. Historical ASPM Tableau visualizations
  6. Create Excel VBA recursive web scraping tutorial
  7. Comparison of residual exponents for rankings
  8. Comparison of various "value metrics" ability to "explain" wins
  9. Publication of spreadsheets used
  10. Work on using Bayesian priors in Adjusted +/-
  11. Work on K-Means clustering for player categorization
  12. Learn ridge regression
  13. Temporally locally-weighted rankings
  14. WOWY as validation of replacement level
  15. Revise ASPM with latest RAPM data
  16. Conversion of ASPM to" wins"
  17. Lineup Bayesian APM
  18. Lineup RAPM
  19. Learn SQL