I didn’t see a post regarding the 2011 US Open. Considering your work proved to be spot on for the Masters I thought for sure you would have done another “prediction”. I know the NBA Finals take precedence and you put forth a lot of time towards that endeavor. Hope you consider the British Open and PGA if you have the time. Thanks for your efforts! Great work and I love the side. Thank you.
Yes, I’ve been really busy lately, with real world stuff. Moving across the country soon. I will likely have less time to work on this site as I transition to a new job. I have done some more work with golf, but haven’t had a chance to follow through with it. I have improved the system–Charl Schwartzel really shouldn’t have been favored; that was an artifact of a lack of connectivity within the regression! (That worked out pretty nicely, though.)
Contribution to the team’s efficiency bottom line. It is equal to the player’s ASPM*%min. So if a player is a -1 player (below average, above replacement level) and plays 50% of the minutes, the contrib for that player would be -0.5.
I didn’t see a post regarding the 2011 US Open. Considering your work proved to be spot on for the Masters I thought for sure you would have done another “prediction”. I know the NBA Finals take precedence and you put forth a lot of time towards that endeavor. Hope you consider the British Open and PGA if you have the time. Thanks for your efforts! Great work and I love the side. Thank you.
Sean
Yes, I’ve been really busy lately, with real world stuff. Moving across the country soon. I will likely have less time to work on this site as I transition to a new job. I have done some more work with golf, but haven’t had a chance to follow through with it. I have improved the system–Charl Schwartzel really shouldn’t have been favored; that was an artifact of a lack of connectivity within the regression! (That worked out pretty nicely, though.)
Do you have ASPM for past years?
Historical ASPM, in Excel form:
https://docs.google.com/file/d/0Bx1NfCUslJwxM2Q1MzFiMjEtNmY5Mi00ZjgxLWIyOTEtODMzMmM4YmQzMmEx/edit
Thanks, and what is Contrib?
Contribution to the team’s efficiency bottom line. It is equal to the player’s ASPM*%min. So if a player is a -1 player (below average, above replacement level) and plays 50% of the minutes, the contrib for that player would be -0.5.