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NBA

Win Shares Hall Rating

August 5, 2014 by Daniel M 1 Comment

I’ve been playing around with an update to Hall Rating and thought I’d try to turn it into a Top 100 list, since I’ve been following the RealGM Top 100 Project debates. I’m using Win Shares as my basis here (so I can get all of NBA history), with all of the caveats that implies. … [Read more…]

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Hall of Fame, Hall Rating, NBA, Player Ratings, Sports History, Statistics

Hall Rating Quick Update

July 22, 2014 by Daniel M 1 Comment

A quick update to , using a newer ASPM regression.  The data here includes only data from 1978 to 2014, so players who started their careers before 1978 will be underrepresented.  Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, for instance, was already 30 in 1978–and he had a hall of fame career after that! Hall Rating, as currently constituted, is … [Read more…]

Posted in: Advanced SPM, NBA Stats Tagged: Advanced SPM, Hall of Fame, Hall Rating, NBA, Sports History

ASPM Notes and Viz Update

December 6, 2012 by Daniel M Leave a Comment

I have added another pane to my 2012-13 ASPM/VORP Tableau Visualization, allowing a better look at the distribution of talent across positions in the NBA. Powered by Tableau The new position vs. ASPM chart is quite interesting: there is an amazing lack of talent/performance right now at the 2,3, and 4 positions outside of a … [Read more…]

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Statistics, Tableau Charts, Visualization, VORP

2012-2013 ASPM & VORP Released

November 14, 2012 by Daniel M Leave a Comment

A quick note: 2012-2013 ASPM & VORP have now been released! See the new 2013 ASPM page. A few early notes: The cream is already rising to the top after 4 to 8 games for each team. LeBron James is #1 in total VORP, with an ASPM almost exactly the same as last year. The … [Read more…]

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Statistics, Tableau Charts, VORP

Overrated and Underrated via RAPM (Part 2)

November 10, 2012 by Daniel M 5 Comments

A week ago, I discussed overrated and underrated players over the past 12 years, evaluated by comparing popular box-score stats with Jeremias Engelmann’s 12 year average Regularized Adjusted Plus/Minus (RAPM) dataset. For a primer on the virtues of RAPM (in large samples), see my article reviewing the state-of-the-art of adjusted plus/minus and stabilization. This time, … [Read more…]

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Adjusted +/-, NBA, Player Ratings, RAPM, Statistics, Tableau Charts, Visualization

Underrated and Overrated Via RAPM

November 2, 2012 by Daniel M 10 Comments

In several of my recent articles, I have been using Jeremias Engelmann’s 12 year average RAPM dataset. Here, I will look at what players may have been underrated or overrated by even advanced stats over the course of the last 12 years. I decided to use PER and WS/48 as my advanced stats to compare … [Read more…]

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Adjusted +/-, NBA, Player Ratings, RAPM, Tableau Charts, Visualization

RAPM vs. MPG (A Look at Replacement Level)

October 30, 2012 by Daniel M Leave a Comment

One of the big ongoing questions in NBA stats and player valuation is where to set “replacement level”.  I believe an empirical approach to determining that level is best. Jeremias Engelmann has produced an outstanding resource in his 12 year average RAPM data.  Since so many years are used, it is quite stable; however, one … [Read more…]

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Adjusted +/-, NBA, Player Ratings, RAPM, Replacement Level, Stat Theory, Statistics, Tableau Charts, Visualization

2013 NBA ASPM Team Projections

October 29, 2012 by Daniel M 1 Comment

Here are my 2013 NBA Team Projections, based on my ASPM player projections. For playing time, I roughly used ESPN’s Fantasy Projections, tweaked so each team totaled 475% of the minutes (I assumed the rest of the minutes would go to replacement level (-3.25) players). Here are my regular season projections: I have updated these … [Read more…]

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Projections, Statistics, Team Ratings

Quick Chart: ASPM vs RAPM, 2003-2011

October 3, 2012 by Daniel M Leave a Comment

This is some old data, used in the derivation & analysis of Advanced Statistical Plus/Minus (ASPM), but I thought I’d repost it here in a more sortable/filterable/useable form. Regularized Adjusted Plus/Minus (RAPM) data from Jeremias Engelmann. Powered by Tableau

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Adjusted +/-, Advanced SPM, Charts, NBA, RAPM, Statistics, Tableau Charts, Visualization

2012 NBA VORP per Game Vizualization

June 5, 2012 by Daniel M Leave a Comment

Just playing around with Tagxedo. Here are the top 100 players of the 2012 NBA regular season, as measured by VORP-Gm (VORP per game played), only including play for the team the player ended up with (if traded).

Posted in: NBA Stats Tagged: Advanced SPM, NBA, Player Ratings, Visualization
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