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Posts Tagged ‘ PGA ’

Bayesian Golf Ratings and Masters Preview

April 6, 2011
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That’s right, golf.  I’m taking up where Ken Pomeroy left off.  A year or two ago, he developed a rating system for golfers–basically, he created a huge regression of all players and all specific rounds at tournaments.  Each round was assigned a level of difficulty, and each player was assigned an overall rating.  His...
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Posted in Golf | 11 Comments »

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To-Do List

  1. Google Motion Charts for each position, including salary and contract value
  2. Discussion of salary/contract value
  3. Aging curves for individual components (ORB%, Blk%, etc.)
  4. Comparison of residual exponents for rankings
  5. Comparison of various "value metrics" ability to "explain" wins
  6. Publication of spreadsheets used
  7. Work on using Bayesian priors in Adjusted +/-
  8. Work on K-Means clustering for player categorization
  9. Learn ridge regression
  10. Temporally locally-weighted rankings
  11. WOWY as validation of replacement level
  12. Revise ASPM with latest RAPM data
  13. Conversion of ASPM to" wins"
  14. Recursive WOWY Team Ratings
  15. Lineup Bayesian APM
  16. Lineup RAPM