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Visualization: The NBA’s 750 Best Offensive Games

April 28, 2011
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Again using my “game value” metrics, here are the 750 best offensive performances this year, in graphical form:

NBA Wordle 750 Offensive Performances

2011 NBA: the 750 best offensive performances, Wordle form

Notes:

  • Some players are in there many times: Dwyane Wade has 17, though none are very easy to see.  Chris Paul and Lebron James had 16 each.  Kevin Love has 14, Kevin Durant 13 (wait–this is missing last night… should be 14), Carmelo Anthony has 13, and then Monta, Blake, Deron, D-Rose, Dirk, and Kevin Martin follow with 12 appearances each.
  • The names are colored with the team’s primary color.
  • The names are nominally alphabetical from left to right.
  • Lebron James’ 51 was the best offensive game of the year.  Ty Lawson’s 3-Pt barrage was second.  After that comes: KD’s efficient 43, Kyle Lowry’s 36 on 18 shots, Paul Millsap’s heroic game vs. Miami, C.J. Miles crushing Minnesota (would be higher except for strength of opponent being factored in!), K-Love, Luol Deng, and Amare’s best.
  • The size of the type is proportional to offensive VORP minus 7.0.  Lebron’s 51 was worth about 17 points over replacement on offense.
  • Where has Kobe been this year?
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To-Do List

  1. Google Motion Charts for each position, including salary and contract value
  2. Discussion of salary/contract value
  3. Aging curves for individual components (ORB%, Blk%, etc.)
  4. Comparison of residual exponents for rankings
  5. Comparison of various "value metrics" ability to "explain" wins
  6. Publication of spreadsheets used
  7. Work on using Bayesian priors in Adjusted +/-
  8. Work on K-Means clustering for player categorization
  9. Learn ridge regression
  10. Temporally locally-weighted rankings
  11. WOWY as validation of replacement level
  12. Revise ASPM with latest RAPM data
  13. Conversion of ASPM to" wins"
  14. Recursive WOWY Team Ratings
  15. Lineup Bayesian APM
  16. Lineup RAPM