A collection of With-or-Without-You tables for playoff teams. All regressions were stabilized with about 30 games worth of “average for the team” performance. Not all regressions have the last game of the season included.
Oklahoma City Thunder:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 9.4 | 8.1 | -1.3 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Kevin Durant | 3.4 | 3.3 | -0.1 | 78 | 3 | 38.9 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Jeff Green | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 49 | 32 | 37.0 | -2.1 | -1.0 | 1.0 |
Thabo Sefolosha | 2.5 | 1.6 | -0.9 | 79 | 2 | 25.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | -0.6 |
Kendrick Perkins | 2.9 | 1.9 | -1.0 | 17 | 64 | 25.2 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -0.8 |
Nenad Krstic | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 47 | 34 | 21.7 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 2.4 |
Nick Collison | 3.1 | 2.0 | -1.1 | 71 | 10 | 21.5 | 3.4 | 1.9 | -1.5 |
Nazr Mohammed | 2.9 | 1.9 | -1.0 | 24 | 57 | 17.9 | 4.2 | 2.5 | -1.6 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 10.6 | 9.1 | -1.5 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Kevin Durant | 3.4 | 3.0 | -0.5 | 78 | 3 | 38.9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
Jeff Green | 1.6 | 1.6 | -0.1 | 49 | 32 | 37.0 | -1.4 | -0.5 | 0.9 |
Thabo Sefolosha | 2.5 | 1.7 | -0.8 | 79 | 2 | 25.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 | -0.6 |
Kendrick Perkins | 3.1 | 2.1 | -0.9 | 17 | 64 | 25.2 | 2.4 | 1.6 | -0.8 |
Nenad Krstic | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 47 | 34 | 21.7 | -2.1 | -0.1 | 2.0 |
Nick Collison | 2.9 | 2.2 | -0.7 | 71 | 10 | 21.5 | 3.0 | 2.4 | -0.6 |
Nazr Mohammed | 3.1 | 2.1 | -1.0 | 24 | 57 | 17.9 | 4.9 | 3.1 | -1.8 |
Team Future | 8.3 | 6.4 | -1.9 |
Dallas Mavericks:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 9.8 | 3.3 | -6.5 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Dirk Nowitzki | 4.8 | 3.0 | -1.7 | 73 | 8 | 34.3 | 3.2 | 1.7 | -1.4 |
Tyson Chandler | 3.8 | 2.0 | -1.8 | 74 | 7 | 27.8 | 3.1 | 0.9 | -2.1 |
Shawn Marion | 2.2 | 2.1 | -0.1 | 80 | 1 | 28.2 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Caron Butler | 2.8 | 0.2 | -2.5 | 29 | 52 | 29.9 | 0.9 | -2.1 | -3.1 |
DeShawn Stevenson | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.4 | 72 | 9 | 16.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -0.1 |
Brendan Haywood | 0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 72 | 9 | 18.5 | -2.7 | -2.4 | 0.3 |
Rodrigue Beaubois | 2.1 | 0.6 | -1.5 | 28 | 53 | 17.7 | 2.1 | -0.9 | -3.0 |
Peja Stojakovic | 2.0 | 0.7 | -1.3 | 25 | 56 | 20.2 | 1.2 | -0.9 | -2.1 |
Jason Kidd | 3.5 | 2.3 | -1.2 | 80 | 1 | 33.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | -0.8 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 9.8 | 2.8 | -7.0 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Dirk Nowitzki | 4.4 | 2.8 | -1.6 | 73 | 8 | 34.3 | 2.7 | 1.4 | -1.3 |
Tyson Chandler | 3.7 | 1.5 | -2.2 | 74 | 7 | 27.8 | 2.9 | 0.1 | -2.8 |
Shawn Marion | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 80 | 1 | 28.2 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
Caron Butler | 2.8 | 0.7 | -2.1 | 29 | 52 | 29.9 | 1.0 | -1.3 | -2.3 |
DeShawn Stevenson | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | 72 | 9 | 16.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | -0.5 |
Brendan Haywood | 0.1 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 72 | 9 | 18.5 | -3.3 | -3.3 | 0.0 |
Rodrigue Beaubois | 2.1 | 0.3 | -1.8 | 28 | 53 | 17.7 | 2.2 | -1.7 | -4.0 |
Peja Stojakovic | 2.1 | 0.1 | -2.0 | 25 | 56 | 20.2 | 1.4 | -2.4 | -3.7 |
Jason Kidd | 4.0 | 2.4 | -1.5 | 80 | 1 | 33.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 | -1.2 |
Team Future | 7.0 | 2.0 | -5.0 |
Chicago Bulls:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 9.4 | 2.0 | -7.4 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Carlos Boozer | 3.4 | 2.6 | -0.7 | 59 | 21 | 31.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | -0.1 |
Joakim Noah | 2.8 | 1.5 | -1.3 | 48 | 32 | 32.8 | 0.6 | -0.3 | -1.0 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 10.4 | 3.4 | -7.0 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Carlos Boozer | 3.4 | 2.8 | -0.6 | 59 | 21 | 31.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
Joakim Noah | 3.3 | 1.7 | -1.7 | 48 | 32 | 32.8 | 1.4 | -0.1 | -1.4 |
Team Future | 10.4 | 3.4 | -7.0 |
Miami Heat:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 14.6 | 9.5 | -5.1 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
LeBron James | 4.7 | 2.6 | -2.1 | 79 | 2 | 38.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | -1.6 |
Dwyane Wade | 3.9 | 2.6 | -1.3 | 76 | 5 | 37.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | -0.7 |
Chris Bosh | 4.4 | 3.2 | -1.2 | 77 | 4 | 36.3 | 2.3 | 1.7 | -0.6 |
Mike Bibby | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 22 | 59 | 26.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Udonis Haslem | 2.8 | 1.6 | -1.1 | 13 | 68 | 26.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 | -1.1 |
Mario Chalmers | 3.2 | 1.3 | -1.9 | 70 | 11 | 22.5 | 3.3 | 0.3 | -3.0 |
Mike Miller | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 41 | 40 | 20.4 | -1.2 | 0.5 | 1.7 |
Carlos Arroyo | 2.5 | 0.6 | -1.9 | 49 | 32 | 20.3 | 2.4 | -1.2 | -3.6 |
Joel Anthony | 3.2 | 1.8 | -1.4 | 75 | 6 | 19.5 | 4.4 | 1.9 | -2.5 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY (This is without Haslem):
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 14.3 | 9.7 | -4.7 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
LeBron James | 4.6 | 2.6 | -2.0 | 79 | 2 | 38.8 | 2.2 | 0.7 | -1.5 |
Dwyane Wade | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | 76 | 5 | 37.2 | 2.4 | 1.4 | -1.0 |
Chris Bosh | 4.3 | 3.1 | -1.2 | 77 | 4 | 36.3 | 2.2 | 1.6 | -0.5 |
Mike Bibby | 2.0 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 22 | 59 | 26.5 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
Udonis Haslem | 2.7 | 1.6 | -1.2 | 13 | 68 | 26.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | -1.1 |
Mario Chalmers | 2.8 | 0.6 | -2.2 | 70 | 11 | 22.5 | 2.5 | -1.2 | -3.7 |
Mike Miller | 1.2 | 1.1 | -0.1 | 41 | 40 | 20.4 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
Carlos Arroyo | 2.4 | 0.6 | -1.8 | 49 | 32 | 20.3 | 2.1 | -1.1 | -3.2 |
Joel Anthony | 3.2 | 1.8 | -1.4 | 75 | 6 | 19.5 | 4.3 | 1.9 | -2.4 |
Team Future | 9.2 | 7.5 | -1.7 |
Boston Celtics:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 14.3 | 3.7 | -10.6 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Rajon Rondo | 3.0 | 2.7 | -0.4 | 68 | 13 | 37.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Kevin Garnett | 3.6 | 1.0 | -2.6 | 71 | 10 | 31.3 | 2.1 | -0.9 | -3.0 |
Glen Davis | 3.1 | 1.0 | -2.1 | 78 | 3 | 29.5 | 1.5 | -0.9 | -2.4 |
Kendrick Perkins | 2.0 | 0.2 | -1.9 | 12 | 69 | 26.1 | 0.2 | -2.2 | -2.4 |
Jeff Green | 1.3 | 0.8 | -0.5 | 26 | 55 | 23.5 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 0.1 |
Nenad Krstic | 1.2 | 0.8 | -0.5 | 24 | 57 | 23.0 | -0.9 | -0.9 | 0.1 |
Shaquille O’Neal | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.6 | 37 | 44 | 20.3 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
Marquis Daniels | 2.9 | 2.0 | -0.9 | 49 | 32 | 19.1 | 3.7 | 2.4 | -1.2 |
Delonte West | 1.2 | 0.4 | -0.8 | 24 | 57 | 18.9 | -0.3 | -1.4 | -1.1 |
Jermaine O’Neal | 0.7 | 0.6 | -0.1 | 24 | 57 | 18.0 | -1.8 | -1.0 | 0.8 |
Nate Robinson | 2.8 | 1.6 | -1.2 | 55 | 26 | 17.9 | 4.1 | 1.9 | -2.2 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY (This is with Shaq returning):
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 13.9 | 3.9 | -10.0 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Rajon Rondo | 3.2 | 2.4 | -0.8 | 68 | 13 | 37.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
Kevin Garnett | 3.4 | 1.1 | -2.4 | 71 | 10 | 31.3 | 1.8 | -0.9 | -2.7 |
Glen Davis | 3.0 | 0.8 | -2.2 | 78 | 3 | 29.5 | 1.4 | -1.2 | -2.6 |
Kendrick Perkins | 2.3 | 0.4 | -1.9 | 12 | 69 | 26.1 | 0.8 | -1.7 | -2.5 |
Jeff Green | 1.3 | 0.9 | -0.4 | 26 | 55 | 23.5 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 0.2 |
Nenad Krstic | 1.1 | 0.8 | -0.3 | 24 | 57 | 23.0 | -1.1 | -0.8 | 0.3 |
Shaquille O’Neal | 1.9 | 1.2 | -0.7 | 37 | 44 | 20.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | -0.6 |
Marquis Daniels | 2.6 | 1.8 | -0.8 | 49 | 32 | 19.1 | 3.1 | 2.0 | -1.1 |
Delonte West | 1.1 | 0.4 | -0.7 | 24 | 57 | 18.9 | -0.8 | -1.5 | -0.7 |
Jermaine O’Neal | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 24 | 57 | 18.0 | -1.1 | 0.6 | 1.7 |
Nate Robinson | 2.8 | 1.6 | -1.2 | 55 | 26 | 17.9 | 3.9 | 1.7 | -2.2 |
Team Future | 6.2 | 0.2 | -6.1 |
Orlando Magic:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 16.9 | 7.1 | -9.9 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Dwight Howard | 3.3 | 1.5 | -1.9 | 78 | 3 | 37.6 | 0.8 | -0.6 | -1.4 |
Jason Richardson | 3.4 | 2.1 | -1.3 | 55 | 26 | 34.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -0.8 |
Hedo Turkoglu | 3.3 | 2.0 | -1.3 | 56 | 25 | 34.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -0.8 |
Rashard Lewis | 3.4 | 2.1 | -1.3 | 25 | 56 | 32.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 | -0.9 |
Jameer Nelson | 3.0 | 2.5 | -0.5 | 76 | 5 | 30.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
Vince Carter | 3.0 | 1.0 | -1.9 | 22 | 59 | 30.2 | 1.2 | -0.9 | -2.1 |
Brandon Bass | 2.5 | 1.8 | -0.7 | 76 | 5 | 26.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | -0.4 |
J.J. Redick | 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.3 | 59 | 22 | 25.6 | -2.0 | -1.5 | 0.5 |
Ryan Anderson | 3.2 | 1.8 | -1.5 | 64 | 17 | 22.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 | -2.2 |
Mickael Pietrus | 3.2 | 1.2 | -2.0 | 19 | 62 | 22.0 | 3.5 | 0.2 | -3.3 |
Gilbert Arenas | 2.2 | 1.7 | -0.6 | 49 | 32 | 21.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | -0.2 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 16.3 | 7.0 | -9.3 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Dwight Howard | 3.7 | 1.3 | -2.4 | 78 | 3 | 37.6 | 1.2 | -0.8 | -2.0 |
Jason Richardson | 3.4 | 2.1 | -1.3 | 55 | 26 | 34.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | -0.8 |
Hedo Turkoglu | 3.3 | 2.0 | -1.3 | 56 | 25 | 34.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | -0.8 |
Rashard Lewis | 3.3 | 2.0 | -1.3 | 25 | 56 | 32.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | -1.0 |
Jameer Nelson | 3.2 | 2.4 | -0.8 | 76 | 5 | 30.5 | 1.6 | 1.3 | -0.3 |
Vince Carter | 3.0 | 1.3 | -1.7 | 22 | 59 | 30.2 | 1.2 | -0.4 | -1.6 |
Brandon Bass | 2.5 | 1.8 | -0.7 | 76 | 5 | 26.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | -0.3 |
J.J. Redick | 1.6 | 0.9 | -0.7 | 59 | 22 | 25.6 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -0.3 |
Ryan Anderson | 2.9 | 1.7 | -1.2 | 64 | 17 | 22.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | -1.6 |
Mickael Pietrus | 2.7 | 1.2 | -1.5 | 19 | 62 | 22.0 | 2.4 | 0.1 | -2.3 |
Gilbert Arenas | 1.9 | 1.5 | -0.4 | 49 | 32 | 21.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
Team Future | 7.3 | 2.5 | -4.8 |
Portland Trailblazers:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 6.8 | 5.2 | -1.6 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Gerald Wallace | 3.7 | 2.9 | -0.8 | 23 | 58 | 35.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | -0.1 |
Brandon Roy | 1.8 | 0.9 | -0.9 | 47 | 34 | 27.9 | -0.4 | -1.0 | -0.5 |
Marcus Camby | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 59 | 22 | 26.1 | -3.0 | -1.5 | 1.5 |
Rudy Fernandez | 2.6 | 1.6 | -1.0 | 78 | 3 | 23.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | -1.0 |
Dante Cunningham | 0.6 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 56 | 25 | 19.8 | -2.0 | -2.6 | -0.6 |
Joel Przybilla | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 31 | 50 | 14.4 | -1.9 | 0.5 | 2.4 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 7.2 | 6.0 | -1.2 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Gerald Wallace | 3.8 | 3.0 | -0.8 | 23 | 58 | 35.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | -0.1 |
Brandon Roy | 2.0 | 0.9 | -1.1 | 47 | 34 | 27.9 | -0.1 | -1.0 | -0.9 |
Marcus Camby | -0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 59 | 22 | 26.1 | -4.0 | -1.4 | 2.6 |
Rudy Fernandez | 2.8 | 1.7 | -1.1 | 78 | 3 | 23.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 | -1.3 |
Dante Cunningham | 0.6 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 56 | 25 | 19.8 | -2.1 | -2.7 | -0.6 |
Joel Przybilla | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 31 | 50 | 14.4 | -1.8 | 1.0 | 2.8 |
Team Future | 6.1 | 5.0 | -1.1 |
Los Angeles Lakers:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 7.5 | 4.1 | -3.4 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Andrew Bynum | 1.9 | 0.8 | -1.2 | 54 | 27 | 27.8 | -0.2 | -1.2 | -1.0 |
Steve Blake | 2.2 | 1.2 | -1.0 | 79 | 2 | 20.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 | -1.5 |
Matt Barnes | 0.7 | 0.6 | -0.1 | 53 | 28 | 19.2 | -1.8 | -1.0 | 0.8 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 6.8 | 3.0 | -3.9 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Andrew Bynum | 2.3 | 0.9 | -1.4 | 54 | 27 | 27.8 | 0.5 | -0.9 | -1.4 |
Steve Blake | 1.8 | 1.3 | -0.5 | 79 | 2 | 20.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -0.1 |
Matt Barnes | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 53 | 28 | 19.2 | -2.9 | -1.8 | 1.0 |
Team Future | 6.8 | 3.0 | -3.9 |
San Antonio Spurs:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 7.4 | 5.1 | -2.4 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Tony Parker | 3.8 | 2.4 | -1.4 | 78 | 4 | 32.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | -1.1 |
Manu Ginobili | 3.2 | 2.3 | -1.0 | 80 | 2 | 30.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | -0.6 |
Richard Jefferson | 3.2 | 2.0 | -1.2 | 81 | 1 | 30.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | -0.9 |
Tim Duncan | 3.0 | 1.2 | -1.8 | 76 | 6 | 28.4 | 1.5 | -0.4 | -2.0 |
George Hill | 3.2 | 1.4 | -1.8 | 76 | 6 | 28.3 | 1.9 | -0.2 | -2.1 |
Matt Bonner | 3.0 | 2.7 | -0.2 | 66 | 16 | 21.7 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
DeJuan Blair | 1.9 | 1.5 | -0.4 | 81 | 1 | 21.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 |
Gary Neal | 2.5 | 1.8 | -0.7 | 80 | 2 | 21.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | -0.6 |
Antonio McDyess | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 73 | 9 | 19.0 | -3.9 | -1.0 | 3.0 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 7.1 | 5.5 | -1.5 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Tony Parker | 3.8 | 2.6 | -1.2 | 78 | 4 | 32.4 | 2.2 | 1.4 | -0.8 |
Manu Ginobili | 3.3 | 2.5 | -0.8 | 80 | 2 | 30.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | -0.3 |
Richard Jefferson | 3.3 | 2.0 | -1.3 | 81 | 1 | 30.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | -1.0 |
Tim Duncan | 2.9 | 1.1 | -1.9 | 76 | 6 | 28.4 | 1.5 | -0.7 | -2.2 |
George Hill | 3.0 | 1.6 | -1.3 | 76 | 6 | 28.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | -1.3 |
Matt Bonner | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 66 | 16 | 21.7 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
DeJuan Blair | 1.7 | 1.5 | -0.2 | 81 | 1 | 21.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 |
Gary Neal | 2.5 | 1.8 | -0.7 | 80 | 2 | 21.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 | -0.5 |
Antonio McDyess | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 73 | 9 | 19.0 | -3.9 | -1.9 | 2.0 |
Team Future | 7.1 | 5.5 | -1.5 |
Atlanta Hawks:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 2.7 | 1.6 | -1.2 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Joe Johnson | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 72 | 10 | 35.5 | -1.0 | 0.2 | 1.3 |
Josh Smith | 3.2 | 1.6 | -1.6 | 77 | 5 | 34.4 | 1.0 | -0.2 | -1.2 |
Al Horford | 3.5 | 2.5 | -1.0 | 77 | 5 | 35.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | -0.4 |
Jamal Crawford | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 76 | 6 | 30.2 | -0.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Marvin Williams | 1.3 | 0.4 | -0.9 | 65 | 17 | 28.7 | -1.4 | -1.9 | -0.5 |
Mike Bibby | 3.2 | 2.1 | -1.2 | 56 | 26 | 29.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | -0.9 |
Maurice Evans | 1.7 | 0.6 | -1.2 | 47 | 35 | 17.8 | 1.1 | -1.0 | -2.1 |
Kirk Hinrich | 1.4 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 24 | 58 | 28.6 | -1.2 | -0.5 | 0.7 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
Team | 1.7 | 1.3 | -0.3 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Joe Johnson | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 72 | 10 | 35.5 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 |
Josh Smith | 4.0 | 1.9 | -2.2 | 77 | 5 | 34.4 | 2.1 | 0.1 | -2.0 |
Al Horford | 3.2 | 2.4 | -0.7 | 77 | 5 | 35.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
Jamal Crawford | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 76 | 6 | 30.2 | -0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
Marvin Williams | 1.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 | 65 | 17 | 28.7 | -1.8 | -1.6 | 0.2 |
Mike Bibby | 3.3 | 2.0 | -1.3 | 56 | 26 | 29.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | -1.1 |
Maurice Evans | 1.7 | 0.7 | -1.0 | 47 | 35 | 17.8 | 1.1 | -0.6 | -1.7 |
Kirk Hinrich | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 24 | 58 | 28.6 | -1.4 | -0.3 | 1.0 |
Team Future | -3.3 | -1.3 | 1.9 |
Denver Nuggets:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 15.7 | 10.9 | -4.8 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Carmelo Anthony | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 50 | 31 | 35.5 | -1.3 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
Nene Hilario | 1.8 | 1.6 | -0.2 | 75 | 6 | 30.5 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
J.R. Smith | 2.3 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 79 | 2 | 24.9 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
Ty Lawson | 2.6 | 2.3 | -0.3 | 80 | 1 | 26.3 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
Arron Afflalo | 2.4 | 1.9 | -0.5 | 69 | 12 | 33.7 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
Chauncey Billups | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 51 | 30 | 32.3 | -1.5 | 1.3 | 2.9 |
Al Harrington | 2.2 | 1.9 | -0.3 | 73 | 8 | 22.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 |
Kenyon Martin | 2.3 | 1.6 | -0.7 | 48 | 33 | 25.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | -0.3 |
Chris Andersen | 1.6 | 0.9 | -0.7 | 45 | 36 | 16.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | -1.0 |
Raymond Felton | 3.6 | 1.9 | -1.7 | 21 | 60 | 31.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | -1.6 |
Wilson Chandler | 3.1 | 0.6 | -2.5 | 21 | 60 | 30.6 | 1.3 | -1.5 | -2.9 |
Danilo Gallinari | 2.3 | 0.6 | -1.7 | 14 | 67 | 30.9 | 0.1 | -1.5 | -1.6 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 15.0 | 10.3 | -4.8 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Carmelo Anthony | 1.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 50 | 31 | 35.5 | -1.8 | 0.4 | 2.3 |
Nene Hilario | 2.2 | 2.0 | -0.2 | 75 | 6 | 30.5 | -0.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
J.R. Smith | 2.3 | 2.3 | -0.1 | 79 | 2 | 24.9 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
Ty Lawson | 2.5 | 2.2 | -0.3 | 80 | 1 | 26.3 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
Arron Afflalo | 2.3 | 1.7 | -0.6 | 69 | 12 | 33.7 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.1 |
Chauncey Billups | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 51 | 30 | 32.3 | -1.8 | 1.2 | 2.9 |
Al Harrington | 2.2 | 1.7 | -0.5 | 73 | 8 | 22.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | -0.1 |
Kenyon Martin | 2.5 | 1.7 | -0.7 | 48 | 33 | 25.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | -0.4 |
Chris Andersen | 1.9 | 1.2 | -0.7 | 45 | 36 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 1.1 | -1.2 |
Raymond Felton | 3.7 | 2.2 | -1.5 | 21 | 60 | 31.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | -1.3 |
Wilson Chandler | 2.6 | -0.3 | -2.9 | 21 | 60 | 30.6 | 0.6 | -2.9 | -3.5 |
Danilo Gallinari | 1.8 | 0.0 | -1.8 | 14 | 67 | 30.9 | -0.7 | -2.5 | -1.8 |
Team Future | 12.7 | 5.6 | -7.0 |
Yes, Denver looks really, really good by this measure. However, they’ve never had everyone healthy since the trade, so I don’t think it is truly this additive. I’d estimate them at +11, though…
Philadelphia 76ers:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 2.7 | 0.3 | -2.3 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Elton Brand | 3.3 | 2.1 | -1.3 | 81 | 1 | 34.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | -0.7 |
Louis Williams | 3.0 | 2.1 | -0.9 | 75 | 7 | 23.3 | 2.7 | 1.8 | -0.8 |
Andre Iguodala | 3.2 | 1.5 | -1.7 | 67 | 15 | 36.9 | 0.6 | -0.5 | -1.2 |
Jodie Meeks | 3.4 | 2.3 | -1.1 | 74 | 8 | 27.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | -0.8 |
Spencer Hawes | 1.8 | 1.2 | -0.6 | 81 | 1 | 21.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | -0.3 |
Evan Turner | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 78 | 4 | 23.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 2.7 | 0.6 | -2.1 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Elton Brand | 3.1 | 1.9 | -1.1 | 81 | 1 | 34.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | -0.6 |
Louis Williams | 4.1 | 2.8 | -1.3 | 75 | 7 | 23.3 | 4.9 | 3.3 | -1.7 |
Andre Iguodala | 3.7 | 1.5 | -2.2 | 67 | 15 | 36.9 | 1.3 | -0.6 | -1.8 |
Jodie Meeks | 2.8 | 1.9 | -0.9 | 74 | 8 | 27.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 |
Spencer Hawes | 1.7 | 1.2 | -0.6 | 81 | 1 | 21.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -0.3 |
Evan Turner | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 78 | 4 | 23.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Team Future | 2.7 | 0.6 | -2.1 |
Memphis Grizzlies:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 6.6 | 3.3 | -3.4 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Zach Randolph | 3.4 | 2.3 | -1.1 | 75 | 7 | 36.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -0.5 |
Mike Conley | 3.0 | 1.8 | -1.2 | 81 | 1 | 35.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | -0.6 |
Rudy Gay | 2.4 | 1.0 | -1.4 | 54 | 28 | 39.9 | -0.6 | -1.3 | -0.7 |
Marc Gasol | 3.4 | 1.8 | -1.6 | 81 | 1 | 31.9 | 1.5 | 0.2 | -1.4 |
O.J. Mayo | 1.0 | 0.6 | -0.4 | 71 | 11 | 26.3 | -1.7 | -1.4 | 0.3 |
Darrell Arthur | 1.6 | 0.4 | -1.2 | 80 | 2 | 20.1 | 0.3 | -1.5 | -1.8 |
Tony Allen | 1.3 | 0.8 | -0.5 | 72 | 10 | 20.8 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
Sam Young | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 78 | 4 | 20.2 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 2.0 |
Shane Battier | 2.8 | 2.5 | -0.3 | 23 | 59 | 24.2 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 7.3 | 3.8 | -3.5 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Zach Randolph | 3.9 | 2.2 | -1.8 | 75 | 7 | 36.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | -1.3 |
Mike Conley | 3.0 | 1.8 | -1.2 | 81 | 1 | 35.5 | 0.6 | -0.1 | -0.7 |
Rudy Gay | 2.5 | 1.1 | -1.4 | 54 | 28 | 39.9 | -0.5 | -1.2 | -0.7 |
Marc Gasol | 3.0 | 1.7 | -1.3 | 81 | 1 | 31.9 | 1.0 | 0.1 | -0.9 |
O.J. Mayo | 1.3 | 0.9 | -0.4 | 71 | 11 | 26.3 | -1.2 | -0.9 | 0.3 |
Darrell Arthur | 1.7 | 0.7 | -1.0 | 80 | 2 | 20.1 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -1.3 |
Tony Allen | 2.1 | 1.0 | -1.2 | 72 | 10 | 20.8 | 1.4 | -0.3 | -1.7 |
Sam Young | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 78 | 4 | 20.2 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
Shane Battier | 2.7 | 2.4 | -0.3 | 23 | 59 | 24.2 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
Team Future | 4.8 | 2.8 | -2.1 |
New York Knicks:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 10.6 | 12.4 | 1.8 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Amare Stoudemire | 2.3 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 78 | 4 | 36.8 | -0.5 | 1.2 | 1.8 |
Raymond Felton | 2.9 | 1.9 | -1.0 | 54 | 28 | 38.4 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
Toney Douglas | 1.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 81 | 1 | 24.3 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
Wilson Chandler | 2.5 | 0.8 | -1.7 | 51 | 31 | 34.5 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.4 |
Landry Fields | 2.4 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 82 | 31.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | |
Danilo Gallinari | 1.6 | 1.4 | -0.2 | 48 | 34 | 34.8 | -1.3 | -0.6 | 0.7 |
Carmelo Anthony | 2.8 | 3.3 | 0.4 | 27 | 55 | 36.2 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Shawne Williams | 1.2 | 0.2 | -1.0 | 64 | 18 | 20.7 | -0.6 | -2.0 | -1.4 |
Chauncey Billups | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 21 | 61 | 31.6 | -1.4 | 0.1 | 1.5 |
Ronny Turiaf | 1.5 | 0.3 | -1.2 | 64 | 18 | 17.8 | 0.5 | -1.6 | -2.1 |
Anthony Carter | 2.3 | 2.1 | -0.3 | 19 | 63 | 16.3 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 0.2 |
Jared Jeffries | 2.1 | 1.9 | -0.3 | 24 | 58 | 19.3 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 10.9 | 12.7 | 1.8 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Amare Stoudemire | 2.0 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 78 | 4 | 36.8 | -0.8 | 1.6 | 2.4 |
Raymond Felton | 2.9 | 1.9 | -1.1 | 54 | 28 | 38.4 | 0.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
Toney Douglas | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 81 | 1 | 24.3 | -0.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
Wilson Chandler | 2.6 | 0.9 | -1.7 | 51 | 31 | 34.5 | 0.1 | -1.3 | -1.4 |
Landry Fields | 2.4 | 2.2 | -0.2 | 82 | 31.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.6 | |
Danilo Gallinari | 1.9 | 1.5 | -0.4 | 48 | 34 | 34.8 | -0.9 | -0.4 | 0.5 |
Carmelo Anthony | 2.8 | 3.3 | 0.5 | 27 | 55 | 36.2 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
Shawne Williams | 1.1 | 0.3 | -0.8 | 64 | 18 | 20.7 | -0.9 | -1.7 | -0.9 |
Chauncey Billups | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 21 | 61 | 31.6 | -1.7 | -0.2 | 1.6 |
Ronny Turiaf | 1.5 | 0.1 | -1.4 | 64 | 18 | 17.8 | 0.7 | -2.2 | -2.8 |
Anthony Carter | 2.6 | 2.2 | -0.4 | 19 | 63 | 16.3 | 4.0 | 3.9 | -0.1 |
Jared Jeffries | 2.5 | 1.9 | -0.6 | 24 | 58 | 19.3 | 2.7 | 2.2 | -0.5 |
Team Future | 3.5 | 8.4 | 5.0 |
New Orleans Hornets:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 2.3 | 0.6 | -1.7 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
David West | 3.4 | 1.4 | -2.0 | 70 | 12 | 35.0 | 1.2 | -0.6 | -1.8 |
Chris Paul | 2.6 | 1.9 | -0.7 | 80 | 2 | 35.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Marco Belinelli | 1.2 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 80 | 2 | 24.3 | -1.0 | -0.4 | 0.7 |
Trevor Ariza | 1.1 | 0.9 | -0.2 | 75 | 7 | 34.5 | -2.0 | -1.2 | 0.7 |
Emeka Okafor | 3.4 | 0.8 | -2.6 | 72 | 10 | 31.6 | 1.6 | -1.3 | -2.9 |
Willie Green | 2.4 | 1.0 | -1.4 | 77 | 5 | 21.6 | 1.9 | -0.2 | -2.1 |
Jarrett Jack | -0.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 70 | 12 | 19.5 | -4.7 | -1.8 | 2.9 |
Carl Landry | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 23 | 59 | 25.7 | -3.6 | 0.4 | 3.9 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 1.1 | 0.9 | -0.2 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
David West | 3.6 | 1.3 | -2.3 | 70 | 12 | 35.0 | 1.5 | -0.7 | -2.2 |
Chris Paul | 2.4 | 2.0 | -0.5 | 80 | 2 | 35.8 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
Marco Belinelli | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.2 | 80 | 2 | 24.3 | -0.9 | -0.3 | 0.6 |
Trevor Ariza | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 75 | 7 | 34.5 | -2.4 | -1.1 | 1.3 |
Emeka Okafor | 3.2 | 0.8 | -2.4 | 72 | 10 | 31.6 | 1.4 | -1.3 | -2.6 |
Willie Green | 2.1 | 1.1 | -1.0 | 77 | 5 | 21.6 | 1.3 | -0.1 | -1.3 |
Jarrett Jack | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 70 | 12 | 19.5 | -2.7 | -0.9 | 1.8 |
Carl Landry | -0.5 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 23 | 59 | 25.7 | -4.4 | 0.0 | 4.4 |
Team Future | -2.5 | -0.4 | 2.1 |
Indiana Pacers:
WOWY equally weighted over season
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 1.7 | -0.8 | -2.5 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Danny Granger | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 79 | 3 | 35.0 | -0.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 |
Darren Collison | 1.7 | 1.1 | -0.6 | 79 | 3 | 29.9 | -0.8 | -0.8 | 0.0 |
Roy Hibbert | 1.9 | 1.2 | -0.7 | 81 | 1 | 27.7 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
Tyler Hansbrough | 2.1 | 1.4 | -0.7 | 70 | 12 | 21.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | -0.6 |
Mike Dunleavy | 2.4 | 2.1 | -0.3 | 61 | 21 | 27.6 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
Brandon Rush | 0.7 | 0.1 | -0.6 | 67 | 15 | 26.2 | -2.3 | -2.4 | -0.1 |
Josh McRoberts | 2.4 | 1.7 | -0.7 | 72 | 10 | 22.2 | 1.7 | 1.3 | -0.4 |
Paul George | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 61 | 21 | 20.7 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
T.J. Ford | 1.6 | -0.5 | -2.1 | 41 | 41 | 18.9 | 0.5 | -3.7 | -4.2 |
Bayesian Predictive WOWY
Eff Mar | Off Eff | Def Eff | Games | Equiv+/- | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | 0.9 | -1.1 | -2.0 | In | Out | MPG | Tot | O | D |
Danny Granger | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 79 | 3 | 35.0 | -0.5 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
Darren Collison | 1.8 | 1.2 | -0.6 | 79 | 3 | 29.9 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 0.0 |
Roy Hibbert | 1.9 | 1.2 | -0.7 | 81 | 1 | 27.7 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.2 |
Tyler Hansbrough | 1.7 | 1.1 | -0.5 | 70 | 12 | 21.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Mike Dunleavy | 2.6 | 2.4 | -0.1 | 61 | 21 | 27.6 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
Brandon Rush | 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 67 | 15 | 26.2 | -3.1 | -2.5 | 0.4 |
Josh McRoberts | 2.4 | 2.1 | -0.4 | 72 | 10 | 22.2 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.2 |
Paul George | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 61 | 21 | 20.7 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
T.J. Ford | 1.1 | -1.2 | -2.4 | 41 | 41 | 18.9 | -0.7 | -5.7 | -5.0 |
Team Future | -0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
There you have it!