APBRmetrics

[Mountain]

Feb, is an odd time to peak on "x". You'd want to do it in April-May. But maybe one or more of these guys still has more left?

By the crude measure of x Kobe caught LBJ in Feb but Wade passed them both? What would other somewhat more precise metrics show?

[Mike G]

Kobe has been at his best since January. 'x' and other rates aren't cumulative, but specific to that month. It's more relevant within a player's season trajectory than it is to compare the players.

Since Jan, the Lakers have allowed 102.7 PPG, and Kobe has scored 32.2/36.
LeBron's 29.1 pts/36 are with Cavs opponents getting 89.6 PPG; so you could say:
- Kobe's Pts are inflated (relative) to LeBron's by a factor of 1027/896 = 1.146
- On the Lakers (or if Cle ran such that they gave up 103 ppg), LeBron would average 1.146*29.1 = 33.4 Pts/36 , for Feb/Mar.

This one adjustment adds 4.3 to LBJ's x number, and now they're not so close.

It's twice as much work to look all this up (team monthly splits), so I haven't.
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36% of all statistics are wrong

[Mountain]

I thought in an MVP thread that x or whatever would also be intended to help with the comparison between players. Pace or opponent scoring adjusted would be more work but also more helpful; but your call.

[bastillon]

Can we have a new pool ? Things have changed a little bit, but votes are already given.

[Mike G]

Despite some wavering, early APBRMetrics opinions closely matched MVP voters' actions.
Checking for more definitive MVP voting in recent seasons:

[erivera7]

Congrats to LeBron. He had a special year. Nearly every metric available had him #1 (1 year adj. plus/minus, eWins, net plus/minus, PER, WARP, Win Shares, etc).
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@erivera7
I cover the Orlando Magic - Magic Basketball

[Ben]

[erivera7]