APBRmetrics The statistical revolution will not be televised.
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Mike G Joined: 14 Jan 2005 Posts: 1712 Location: Delphi, Indiana
Posted: Thu Dec 27, 2007 10:24 am Post subject:
A couple of the reinvigorated Blazers appear near the bottom of the latest list. Others are just below the horizon: Code: imp per 36 rates Min Eff% Sco Reb Ast 2007 Eff% Sco Reb Ast
125 Webster,Martell 30 .553 14.7 5.5 1.5 .514 11.2 5.5 .9
120 Outlaw,Travis 26 .488 15.9 7.5 1.8 .490 13.0 5.2 .9
112 Aldridge,Lamarcu 34 .540 20.1 8.7 1.0 .527 14.3 9.1 .5
97 Przybilla,Joel 22 .569 9.6 13.1 .5 .459 4.8 11.8 .6
89 Jones,James 22 .710 19.8 5.3 1.0 Pho .505 10.3 4.1 .9
72 Blake,Steve 29 .536 9.8 3.3 5.6 Den .494 8.0 2.8 5.6
54 Roy,Brandon 37 .515 18.9 4.7 4.9 .539 18.8 5.5 3.8
53 Frye,Channing 17 .538 15.7 9.3 1.9 NY .460 12.8 9.4 1.2
21 Lafrentz,Raef 8 .500 10.0 8.7 .8 .435 8.9 8.0 .7
7 Rodriguez,Sergio 10 .432 9.8 3.9 6.0 .490 8.8 3.7 6.7
-40 Jack,Jarrett 26 .553 14.5 3.3 4.1 .560 14.8 3.5 5.3
A bunch of guys who basically did not get assists last year are getting a couple this year. Also shooting better, almost across the board.
Jack, the only 'loser' on the team, has slipped by not quite one (equiv.) point per game. His minutes are down (from 34). _________________ 40% of all statistics are wrong.
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Mike G Joined: 14 Jan 2005 Posts: 1712 Location: Delphi, Indiana
Posted: Wed Jan 09, 2008 9:53 am Post subject:
An extended-version update. Code: impr per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast 2007 Eff% Sco Reb Ast
245 Paul,Chris NO .562 23.7 3.9 9.1 .526 18.5 5.0 8.0
233 Salmons,John Sac .585 18.5 5.4 2.9 .542 10.7 4.3 3.6
219 Mccants,Rashad Min .543 19.8 3.8 2.2 .447 9.3 2.7 1.8
211 Carter,Anthony Den .547 10.2 3.8 6.2 .375 4.1 2.6 7.9
199 Bynum,Andrew LAL .641 18.7 12.8 1.8 .579 14.0 10.8 1.7
198 Jefferson,Richard NJ .556 24.3 4.5 2.3 .542 18.2 5.0 2.6
197 Gay,Rudy Mem .548 19.2 5.7 1.6 .489 13.3 6.4 1.4
191 Maxiell,Jason Det .598 17.9 9.5 1.0 .505 12.1 6.8 .5
189 Butler,Caron Was .579 22.1 6.4 3.6 .528 17.4 7.4 3.0
186 Kaman,Chris LAC .521 16.8 12.8 1.7 .493 13.4 11.8 1.3
176 Dunleavy,Mike Ind .592 20.4 6.1 2.9 .533 14.6 6.2 2.7
171 Farmar,Jordan LAL .575 16.8 4.3 4.1 .511 8.8 3.6 3.3
169 Calderon,Jose Tor .579 16.3 4.1 9.0 .579 15.0 2.8 7.0
158 Garcia,Francisco Sac .545 17.5 5.0 1.8 .542 10.5 4.7 1.7
158 Wells,Bonzi Hou .460 14.7 8.9 2.0 .438 11.5 7.0 1.6
157 Fisher,Derek LAL .587 18.6 3.3 4.5 Uta .498 13.6 3.0 4.1
154 Haywood,Brendan Was .579 15.7 11.6 .9 .555 10.8 10.9 .9
152 Williams,Louis Phi .520 18.3 3.5 4.9 .510 11.7 3.3 4.1
149 Gibson,Daniel Cle .626 15.9 3.0 2.8 .551 10.5 3.6 2.3
148 Webster,Martell Por .547 15.1 5.6 1.7 .514 11.2 5.5 .9
impr per36 rates tm Eff% Sco Reb Ast 2007 Eff% Sco Reb Ast
145 Bass,Brandon Dal .536 14.3 8.9 1.3 NO .404 7.4 9.5 .5
145 Martin,Kenyon Den .502 12.8 8.5 1.2 .432 10.2 13.2 .5
141 Garnett,Kevin Bos .592 25.4 11.8 4.0 .536 22.0 12.9 3.3
139 Jones,James Por .715 20.9 4.9 1.0 Phx .505 10.3 4.1 .9
138 Williams,Marvin Atl .570 18.8 6.2 1.7 .500 14.6 6.5 1.8
136 Brewer,Ronnie Uta .585 16.9 3.8 2.3 .554 13.7 4.6 1.1
133 Aldridge,Lamarcu Por .541 20.5 8.6 1.1 .527 14.3 9.1 .5
129 Hayes,Jarvis Det .536 17.3 5.9 1.4 Was .497 10.9 4.6 1.4
125 Miles,C.J. Uta .599 18.0 4.7 2.4 .396 8.2 4.0 2.1
123 Thomas,Kurt Sea .489 8.8 14.4 1.7 Phx .523 8.0 10.5 .6
122 Howard,Dwight Orl .598 23.5 14.6 1.3 .598 21.1 14.9 1.8
121 Outlaw,Travis Por .488 16.0 7.4 1.8 .490 13.0 5.2 .9
117 Mason,Roger Was .549 14.5 3.0 2.5 .446 8.5 2.9 1.8
114 Kleiza,Linas Den .569 16.9 6.1 1.7 .552 13.0 6.2 .9
114 Rondo,Rajon Bos .508 12.0 5.2 6.3 .462 9.1 6.2 5.0
112 Smith,Joe Chi .507 17.2 9.2 1.4 Phl .502 12.1 9.6 .9
110 Stoudemire,Amare Pho .619 28.3 10.4 1.1 .620 26.0 11.3 1.0
107 Humphries,Kris Tor .512 15.5 10.8 1.1 .506 10.2 8.9 .7
102 Billups,Chauncey Det .598 23.7 3.4 8.1 .576 20.9 3.8 7.3
101 Biedrins,Andris GS .649 15.5 12.2 1.3 .589 12.3 11.6 1.1
_________________ 40% of all statistics are wrong.
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Mountain Joined: 13 Mar 2007 Posts: 374
Posted: Wed Jan 09, 2008 4:16 pm Post subject:
Thanks for the list (and updates). Always interested in this stuff- to confirm the finds I've made independently or catch ones I'd hadn't noticed yet.
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Mike G Joined: 14 Jan 2005 Posts: 1712 Location: Delphi, Indiana
Posted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:24 pm Post subject:
Some categorical improvers. Limited to the 250-odd players who have played 300 minutes.
Effective shooting % is almost the same as TS%; the 'improvement' should be almost identical.
Code: impr eff shooting% tm 2008 2007
.210 Jones,James Por .715 .505
.203 Miles,C.J. Uta .599 .396
.132 Bass,Brandon Dal .536 .404
.120 Quinn,Chris Mia .591 .472
.116 Przybilla,Joel Por .575 .459
.103 Diawara,Yakhouba Den .549 .446
.103 Mason,Roger Was .549 .446
.097 Mccants,Rashad Min .543 .447
.093 Maxiell,Jason Det .598 .505
.089 Fisher,Derek LAL .587 .498
Per-36 Scoring, enviro-adjusted.
Code: impr scoring tm 2008 2007
10.7 Jones,James Por 20.9 10.3
10.5 Mccants,Rashad Min 19.8 9.3
9.8 Miles,C.J. Uta 18.0 8.2
8.3 Vujacic,Sasha LAL 18.4 10.1
8.0 Farmar,Jordan LAL 16.8 8.8
7.8 Salmons,John Sac 18.5 10.7
7.1 Garcia,Francisco Sac 17.5 10.5
6.9 Bass,Brandon Dal 14.3 7.4
6.5 Williams,Louis Phi 18.3 11.7
6.3 Hayes,Jarvis Det 17.3 10.9
6.3 Aldridge,Lamarcus Por 20.5 14.3
Rebounding rate is similar to RbR, but opponent rebound totals count more than team totals.
Code: impr rebounding tm 2008 2007
3.9 Thomas,Kurt Sea 14.4 10.5
3.4 Foyle,Adonal Orl 11.3 8.0
3.2 Boone,Josh NJ 11.6 8.4
2.7 Maxiell,Jason Det 9.5 6.8
2.2 Outlaw,Travis Por 7.4 5.2
2.0 Jamison,Antawn Was 10.3 8.3
2.0 Humphries,Kris Tor 10.8 8.9
1.9 Bynum,Andrew LAL 12.8 10.8
1.9 Wells,Bonzi Hou 8.9 7.0
1.6 Bell,Charlie Mil 4.8 3.2
Assist rate is relative to team FG/G, team and opponent PPG.
Code: impr assists tm 2008 2007
2.4 Murray,Ronald Det 6.6 4.2
2.1 Calderon,Jose Tor 9.0 7.0
2.1 Arroyo,Carlos Orl 6.7 4.6
2.0 Jones,Eddie Dal 4.2 2.3
1.8 Jaric,Marko Min 4.4 2.6
1.8 Bell,Charlie Mil 4.4 2.6
1.5 Nelson,Jameer Orl 6.6 5.1
1.5 Ariza,Trevor LAL 3.0 1.6
1.3 Rondo,Rajon Bos 6.3 5.0
1.3 Allen,Tony Bos 3.6 2.3
Has anyone dramatically picked up their steals rate? Code: impr steals tm 2008 2007
.95 Paul,Chris NO 2.9 1.9
.81 Williams,Shawne Ind 1.1 .3
.79 Pietrus,Mickael GS 1.7 .9
.78 House,Eddie Bos 1.7 .9
.74 Patterson,Ruben LAC 2.4 1.6
.74 Hughes,Larry Cle 2.0 1.3
.73 Miles,C.J. Uta 1.8 1.0
.69 Brewer,Ronnie Uta 2.6 1.9
.65 Farmar,Jordan LAL 1.9 1.2
.64 Carney,Rodney Phi 1.9 1.2
Finally, shots blocked per 36 minutes.
Code: impr blocks tm 2008 2007
1.81 Skinner,Brian Pho 3.4 1.6
1.39 Blatche,Andray Was 3.0 1.6
1.31 Bogut,Andrew Mil 1.9 .6
1.11 Stoudemire,Amare Pho 2.7 1.6
.89 Dampier,Erick Dal 2.6 1.7
.85 Harrison,David Ind 2.8 2.0
.75 Thomas,Kurt Sea 1.6 .8
.67 Bass,Brandon Dal 1.3 .6
.59 Kaman,Chris LAC 2.7 2.1
.58 Smith,Joe Chi 1.2 .6
_________________ 40% of all statistics are wrong. Last edited by Mike G on Tue Jan 15, 2008 3:01 pm; edited 1 time in total
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Mountain Joined: 13 Mar 2007 Posts: 374
Posted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:52 pm Post subject:
Lots of cases where GM judgment could be praised.
I didn't see what Riley apparently saw in Quinn but looks like he found some value there.
Diawara the strong defender who was taught / learned to shoot.
Roger Mason uncoventional guard but makes a contribution.
I liked James Jones more than his previous GMs and Pritchard agreed and is getting a good return.
Vujacic has improved but is his playing time now gone? A trade assist or insurance?
I always felt Salmons was a good buy.
Outlaw makes sense now.
Colangelo got good value re-signing Humpries.
Jaric looked good and tradeable for awhile. Do they want to? May have waited too long.
Ariza offense is nice but I am not seeing the defense.
CJ Miles is a nice bench player.
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