Well, the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament is in the books.\u00a0 I don’t have much time to post, so I’ll make it quick:<\/p>\n
The updated table (Bayesian here does not include the manual tweaks for players back\/injured or the “playing to opposition” adjustment”)<\/p>\n\n
| O<\/th> | Sd<\/th> | Re<\/th> | Team<\/th> | Bayesian<\/th> | Tourney<\/th> | GmErr<\/th> | Elite 8<\/th> | Final 4<\/th> | Finals<\/th> | Champ<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1<\/td> | 1<\/td> | E<\/td> | Ohio St.<\/td> | 33.47<\/td> | 33.25<\/td> | 10.47<\/td> | 71.562<\/td> | 58.428<\/td> | 38.967<\/td> | 28.1237<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 8<\/td> | 4<\/td> | E<\/td> | Kentucky<\/td> | 27.05<\/td> | 26.85<\/td> | 10.14<\/td> | 28.438<\/td> | 18.216<\/td> | 8.024<\/td> | 4.2294<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 11<\/td> | 11<\/td> | E<\/td> | Marquette<\/td> | 18.70<\/td> | 19.67<\/td> | 9.88<\/td> | 43.439<\/td> | 8.645<\/td> | 2.308<\/td> | 0.8302<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 16<\/td> | 2<\/td> | E<\/td> | North Carolina<\/td> | 23.04<\/td> | 23.30<\/td> | 11.28<\/td> | 56.561<\/td> | 14.711<\/td> | 4.962<\/td> | 2.1065<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 19<\/td> | 1<\/td> | W<\/td> | Duke<\/td> | 32.26<\/td> | 29.20<\/td> | 8.65<\/td> | 89.701<\/td> | 60.519<\/td> | 31.556<\/td> | 20.4366<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 23<\/td> | 5<\/td> | W<\/td> | Arizona<\/td> | 18.43<\/td> | 15.26<\/td> | 9.86<\/td> | 10.299<\/td> | 2.288<\/td> | 0.354<\/td> | 0.0838<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 27<\/td> | 3<\/td> | W<\/td> | Connecticut<\/td> | 21.70<\/td> | 23.35<\/td> | 9.43<\/td> | 43.701<\/td> | 14.858<\/td> | 5.062<\/td> | 2.3184<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 34<\/td> | 2<\/td> | W<\/td> | San Diego St.<\/td> | 24.10<\/td> | 26.72<\/td> | 9.97<\/td> | 56.299<\/td> | 22.336<\/td> | 8.768<\/td> | 4.5140<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 36<\/td> | 1<\/td> | SW<\/td> | Kansas<\/td> | 31.42<\/td> | 30.00<\/td> | 10.78<\/td> | 82.041<\/td> | 60.236<\/td> | 38.476<\/td> | 17.9515<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 41<\/td> | 12<\/td> | SW<\/td> | Richmond<\/td> | 15.10<\/td> | 14.29<\/td> | 10.62<\/td> | 17.959<\/td> | 6.653<\/td> | 2.048<\/td> | 0.3261<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 46<\/td> | 11<\/td> | SW<\/td> | Virginia Commonwealth<\/td> | 9.32<\/td> | 13.06<\/td> | 9.95<\/td> | 51.732<\/td> | 17.979<\/td> | 7.689<\/td> | 1.9926<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 49<\/td> | 10<\/td> | SW<\/td> | Florida St.<\/td> | 16.66<\/td> | 15.50<\/td> | 7.08<\/td> | 48.268<\/td> | 15.132<\/td> | 6.095<\/td> | 1.3161<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 56<\/td> | 8<\/td> | SE<\/td> | Butler<\/td> | 16.32<\/td> | 19.35<\/td> | 12.55<\/td> | 32.360<\/td> | 14.557<\/td> | 5.222<\/td> | 1.2737<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 60<\/td> | 4<\/td> | SE<\/td> | Wisconsin<\/td> | 26.79<\/td> | 26.15<\/td> | 11.94<\/td> | 67.640<\/td> | 42.978<\/td> | 23.260<\/td> | 9.6300<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 61<\/td> | 3<\/td> | SE<\/td> | Brigham Young<\/td> | 23.40<\/td> | 24.75<\/td> | 11.11<\/td> | 43.598<\/td> | 17.024<\/td> | 6.258<\/td> | 1.5381<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n |
| 68<\/td> | 2<\/td> | SE<\/td> | Florida<\/td> | 21.50<\/td> | 23.24<\/td> | 11.59<\/td> | 56.402<\/td> | 25.441<\/td> | 10.953<\/td> | 3.3293<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Well, the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament is in the books.\u00a0 I don’t have much time to post, so I’ll make it quick: Predictions did fairly well. In the 8 closest 1st-round games by my pregame predictions (averaging a 52.72% favorite) my stats went only 25%–otherwise, everything matched up really well.\u00a0 The other 3 … [Read more…]<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[21,32,33,27,22,24],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=419"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":425,"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/419\/revisions\/425"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=419"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=419"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=419"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}} |