{"id":296,"date":"2011-02-22T15:05:09","date_gmt":"2011-02-22T21:05:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/?p=296"},"modified":"2011-03-09T15:02:28","modified_gmt":"2011-03-09T21:02:28","slug":"the-carmelo-trade","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/godismyjudgeok.com\/DStats\/2011\/nba-stats\/the-carmelo-trade\/","title":{"rendered":"The Carmelo Trade"},"content":{"rendered":"

Carmelo Anthony was FINALLY traded yesterday, in a mega 3-team deal. How did the teams make out?<\/p>\n

There are several good trade analyses around, but none of them are really focusing on the financial aspect. Kevin Pelton’s article<\/a> is a good primer on the trade as a starting point, and Joe Treutlein at Hoopdata<\/a> has a good analysis as well.<\/p>\n

I’ll look at this trade from an ASPM perspective. Like always, ASPM numbers can be pulled from my spreadsheet at Google Docs<\/a>. There are other metrics that have different views of Carmelo, who is one of the most difficult players to quantify in the NBA. His game is so 1-dimensional…<\/p>\n

Well, here is what my numbers show for the players traded, along with an average career trajectory for a player of that age:<\/p>\n

\"Carmelo<\/a>

Carmelo Trade ASPM Aging Chart<\/p><\/div>\n

Carmelo is currently estimated as a +3.13 player, good for 20th in the NBA, similar in caliber to players like LaMarcus Aldridge, Paul Pierce, Josh Smith, and Tim Duncan. Excellent, but maybe not “Great”. Basically Kevin Durant-lite at this point, only already at his peak.<\/p>\n

Meanwhile, the Knicks are sending 3 players that are near league average, and all of them are still young. Felton may already have peaked, but Wilson Chandler and particularly Gallo have not.<\/p>\n

Billups is also interesting. He’s strongly on the downslide at this point. He’s a tremendous shooter, but not a very good point guard. His 5 most similar players, though:<\/p>\n