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Inside Scoring

 
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supersub15



Joined: 21 Sep 2006
Posts: 109

PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2008 8:44 am    Post subject: Inside Scoring Reply with quote

I'm trying to compile a list of the best and worst inside scorers in the league and noticed a discrepancy between NBA Hotzones and 82games.com.

Let's take Tim Duncan, for example:

In NBA Hotzones, he's 207 of 340. Over 37 games, he's scoring 11.19 points inside.

In 82games is showing Duncan as scoring only 8.9 points inside.

What am I missing here?
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Eli W



Joined: 01 Feb 2005
Posts: 330

PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2008 9:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Those HotZones numbers are for shots from 0-8 feet.

Those 82games numbers are for the sum of their classifications of tips, dunks, and close shots. They classify some shots within 8 feet as jump shots, and don't include them in their "inside" totals. So there won't be a perfect match with HotZones.

Basically, 82games slices up closer shots while HotZones lumps them together, and HotZones slices up longer shots while 82games lumps them together.
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Eli W. (formerly John Quincy)
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supersub15



Joined: 21 Sep 2006
Posts: 109

PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2008 10:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Eli W wrote:
Those HotZones numbers are for shots from 0-8 feet.

Those 82games numbers are for the sum of their classifications of tips, dunks, and close shots. They classify some shots within 8 feet as jump shots, and don't include them in their "inside" totals. So there won't be a perfect match with HotZones.

Basically, 82games slices up closer shots while HotZones lumps them together, and HotZones slices up longer shots while 82games lumps them together.


Thanks for the clarification. So, now, for the purposes of compiling this list, if I were to study the best and worst inside scorers, would it be more beneficial to count those 0-8 ft jumpers as inside scoring or not?
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Ed Küpfer



Joined: 30 Dec 2004
Posts: 627
Location: Toronto

PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2008 10:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

supersub15 wrote:
So, now, for the purposes of compiling this list, if I were to study the best and worst inside scorers, would it be more beneficial to count those 0-8 ft jumpers as inside scoring or not?


Edit: it seems to me that equally important in terms of inside scoring efficiency is number of inside scoring attempts -- probably as a proportion of total possessions. You should probably look at both.
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supersub15



Joined: 21 Sep 2006
Posts: 109

PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2008 10:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ed Küpfer wrote:
Edit: it seems to me that equally important in terms of inside scoring efficiency is number of inside scoring attempts -- probably as a proportion of total possessions. You should probably look at both.


Just to be clear, when you say "proportion of total possessions", does that mean "possession" or "FGA"? If it's the former, do I use Hollinger's Usage Rate as a basis for the number of total possessions?
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Ed Küpfer



Joined: 30 Dec 2004
Posts: 627
Location: Toronto

PostPosted: Fri Jan 25, 2008 10:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I would use possessions, but I can't imagine it would make a huge difference. Don't sweat the details too much -- you're probably going to run into an unforeseen problem that will require you to re-analyse the whole thing, so don't try too hard to get it right the first time.
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