APBRmetrics

**cherokee_ACB** · Joined: 22 Mar 2006 Posts: 157

Using the matchups data from basketballvalue and my own version of adjusted plus/minus, here's the list of players that faced the toughest matchups (last season; minimum of 500 possessions)

Mountain · Joined: 13 Mar 2007 Posts: 1527

Thanks for the new and important database.

What do the hidden columns mean?

Amir Johnson still has to proven his quality but as a starter he will have that chance. Stuckey also at 15th percentile for opponent quality last season- pretty favorable conditions but still shot/scored very inefficiently. Will see how much he develops with the stated intention to play him like a starter.

Mike G · Posted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 6:17 am Post subject: Re: Strength of opponent lineups

**cherokee_ACB** · Joined: 22 Mar 2006 Posts: 157

What do the hidden columns mean?
They meant nothing. They aren't there now that I've added offensive/defensive splits.

Why do you have your own version of adj +/- ? Doesn't bv have that?
I prefer not to use reference players in the regression.

Can Brand's +4.4 opponent strength simply be added to his Raw +/- to arrive at his Adj +/- ?
If you also subtract teammates +/-, it's roughly the same, yes.

Any reason you don't have 'team' as a column?
I don't need team data for this.

Mountain · Joined: 13 Mar 2007 Posts: 1527

Mountain · Joined: 13 Mar 2007 Posts: 1527

On Rodney Stuckey

"He will be a star in this league," said Pistons coach Michael Curry ... "The reason I think he'll be a star is because he wants to be one."

I know what he means but still...

In last 20 years 142 players have played 1000+ minutes in rookie year and had a TS% below 50%.

Stuckey ranked just outside the top third on TS% among this subgroup, though ahead of possible reference points Richard Hamilton and Joe Johnson. On raw FG% he ranked near bottom third... though ahead of JR Smith.

But if you look at all rookies over 1000 minutes in this time period Stuckey rank at 25th percentile on TS% and 15th percentile on raw FG%.

Yeah some rise up in future years but it is a long way up and many don't become stars even though "they want to be one" (this is rare? I guess he meant really really want to be one). I wouldn't make it seem like a sure thing.
He may get there - despite my criticism of his praise/hype I'd still acknowledge he is a top 10 guy for potential in his draft class- but I doubt it is this season and may not be next either.

Below -4 to 5 opponent adjusted +/- might define players coaches are mainly using in "garbage time". Are they ever any graduates from there? About 75 guys -4 or less on the list, maybe a few escape at most. Joe Dumars, Michael and Amir Johnson clearly hope that Amir does but use of him in real NBA games has been really limited to easiest circumstances possible so far.

Ok another set of quotes from Michael Curry displays a more realistic assessment of Stuckey.

http://tinyurl.com/5l8t5h

A had to admit thing or just part of the ying / yang of coaching?

At least he said it. I respect that.

**cherokee_ACB** · Joined: 22 Mar 2006 Posts: 157

Mountain · Joined: 13 Mar 2007 Posts: 1527

It is not a big deal. Fixable by the user if I want to. Thanks again.