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MVP Race 2011
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Who is the 2010-11 NBA MVP ?
Kobe Bryant, LAL
2%
 2%  [ 1 ]
Kevin Durant, Okl
2%
 2%  [ 1 ]
Pau Gasol, LAL
0%
 0%  [ 0 ]
Dwight Howard, Orl
29%
 29%  [ 10 ]
LeBron James, Mia
32%
 32%  [ 11 ]
Kevin Love, Min
2%
 2%  [ 1 ]
Dirk Nowitzki, Dal
8%
 8%  [ 3 ]
Chris Paul, NOH
2%
 2%  [ 1 ]
Derrick Rose, Chi
17%
 17%  [ 6 ]
Dwyane Wade, Mia
0%
 0%  [ 0 ]
Total Votes : 34

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Mike G



Joined: 14 Jan 2005
Posts: 3618
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 9:20 am    Post subject: MVP Race 2011 Reply with quote

Place your vote and hopefully your reasons.
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back2newbelf



Joined: 21 Jun 2005
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 11:50 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nowitzki. Reasons: On/Off, RAPM, team win % with him vs without him
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EvanZ



Joined: 22 Nov 2010
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 2:12 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

My vote is for Howard. I think Rose is going to win the award for recognition of his high USG rate and lack of any All-Star teammates this season. I think that's a decent argument.

But this just goes to show how little voters/media care about defense.
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greyberger



Joined: 27 Sep 2010
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 2:30 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Howard should win it. Rose has got it in the bag though.
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BobboFitos



Joined: 21 Feb 2009
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 3:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I voted for Howard. I agree w/ SVG that Howard has more impact per possession than any other player in the game.

The funny thing is "people" (I suppose casualfan media) view Dwight Howard as primarily a rebounder/defender, however what he does on offense is super elite as well. Not really getting enough credit, I have him as the best player this season. (By a decent margin - enough anyway to make this an easy decision for me)
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Mike G



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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 3:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Rose has got it in the bag? How, when, why?
Because the Bulls have momentarily got the best record, except for the Spurs?

Boozer, when healthy, is all-League or All-star at least. Noah might be even better. Deng is no slouch. The bench is deep. Do voters pretend they don't know these things?

The standings may shift in the next week or two. Does that change the value of the MVP candidates?
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bbstats



Joined: 25 Apr 2010
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 3:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Paul Pierce is the leader in RAPM times Minutes%. So...yeah.
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Mike G



Joined: 14 Jan 2005
Posts: 3618
Location: Hendersonville, NC

PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 5:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

At this point it's Dwight with 4 votes, LeBron 2, Dirk 1, Pierce 1.
I got Rose's historic statistical similars --
Code:
dif    yr      per-36 rates    Sco   Reb   Ast    PF   Stl   TO   Blk
.00   2011    Rose, Derrick   28.0   4.5   8.0   1.6   1.0   3.3   .6
.33   1996  Anfernee Hardaway 25.0   4.6   7.1   2.0   2.1   2.8   .5
.38   2002   Jerry Stackhouse 23.8   4.5   5.9   2.2   1.1   3.7   .5
.40   2005   Kobe Bryant      27.5   5.7   5.6   2.5   1.2   3.8   .8

.42   2004   Tracy Mcgrady    26.4   5.7   5.4   1.8   1.3   2.5   .6
.42   1996   Terrell Brandon  24.9   4.3   7.7   2.1   1.9   2.0   .5
.42   2006   Tony Parker      25.7   3.8   7.6   2.2   1.1   3.4   .1
.42   1970   Jerry West       27.2   3.6   6.4   2.0   2.1   3.4   .3

.43   2005   Dwyane Wade      26.6   5.3   6.7   2.9   1.5   4.1  1.0
.46   2006   Lebron James     30.8   6.6   6.1   2.0   1.3   2.8   .7
.52   1967   Oscar Robertson  24.9   4.1   8.1   2.5   2.4   3.5   .4
.52   2005   Allen Iverson    28.3   3.7   7.3   1.7   2.2   4.2   .1
Only the most similar season per player.
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back2newbelf



Joined: 21 Jun 2005
Posts: 275

PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 6:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

bbstats wrote:
Paul Pierce is the leader in RAPM times Minutes%. So...yeah.

I'll have an update tomorrow, I don't think that statement is true anymore
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BobboFitos



Joined: 21 Feb 2009
Posts: 201
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 9:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mike G wrote:
Rose has got it in the bag? How, when, why?
Because the Bulls have momentarily got the best record, except for the Spurs?

Boozer, when healthy, is all-League or All-star at least. Noah might be even better. Deng is no slouch. The bench is deep. Do voters pretend they don't know these things?

The standings may shift in the next week or two. Does that change the value of the MVP candidates?


bolded is pretty much true. they chose not to believe chicago is really deep.
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greyberger



Joined: 27 Sep 2010
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PostPosted: Thu Mar 24, 2011 10:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mike G wrote:
Boozer, when healthy, is all-League or All-star at least. Noah might be even better. Deng is no slouch. The bench is deep. Do voters pretend they don't know these things?


That's a pretty good way of putting it. Boozer and Noah aren't mentioned unless it's in reference to their injuries. Deng is completely overlooked, as are the key bench players. They might as well be invisible.

There are some good examples of the conventional MVP wisdom in this recent Ric Bucher chat. Ric has a vote, doesn't he?
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BobboFitos



Joined: 21 Feb 2009
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Location: Cambridge, MA

PostPosted: Fri Mar 25, 2011 5:48 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

greyberger wrote:
Mike G wrote:
Boozer, when healthy, is all-League or All-star at least. Noah might be even better. Deng is no slouch. The bench is deep. Do voters pretend they don't know these things?


That's a pretty good way of putting it. Boozer and Noah aren't mentioned unless it's in reference to their injuries. Deng is completely overlooked, as are the key bench players. They might as well be invisible.

There are some good examples of the conventional MVP wisdom in this recent Ric Bucher chat. Ric has a vote, doesn't he?


In a nutshell:

Quote:
dominick w (arab alabama)


Why is dwade not getting more mvp love?his stats are very close to Lebrons and hollinger has him ranked high yet no one talks bout him for mvp. very sad in my oppinon
Ric Bucher
(1:20 PM)


I would hope because MVP is not about statistics.


Apparently there are a select few among us who are so amazing in terms of their basketball instincts and selection, I suppose, that they can ignore stats and make declarative statements about the relative value of those players. Maybe one day I will be that amazing!
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Mike G



Joined: 14 Jan 2005
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 25, 2011 6:35 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I'll go out on a limb and guess that Ric Bucher refers to statistics when they support his observations. Others among us may have a preconception based on stats, and confirm this via observation.

Bucher's observation tells him that Orlando has much more talent around Dwight than the Bulls have in support of Rose. But a response comes in claiming the Bulls have 3 players (same 3 I named) who are better than anyone around Dwight. Bucher seems to agree, and so he has made no argument whatsoever. Just that he likes Rose.

The article was from awhile ago, right after the deadline trades. This Rose For MVP groundswell has taken me by surprise. Guess I need to dig more for these sentimental sea changes.
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Mike G



Joined: 14 Jan 2005
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Location: Hendersonville, NC

PostPosted: Fri Mar 25, 2011 6:45 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

To get the mvp candidates, I just multiplied 5 stats:
My own eWins/484 and eWins/82 games; PER; b-r.com's WinShares and WS/48.
Everyone who is Top 10 in any of e82, PER, or WS is included.

Code:
smvp  statistical mvp  e484    e82    PER    WS    ws48
2693   James,Lebron    2.30   14.5   26.7   12.9   .234
2297   Howard,Dwight   2.16   13.1   26.3   12.9   .239
1546   Paul,Chris      1.80   10.7   24.5   13.0   .251
1387   Rose,Derrick    2.09   13.1   23.3   10.8   .201
1382   Wade,Dwyane     2.05   12.2   25.1   10.7   .206

1322   Love,Kevin      1.88   11.5   24.5   11.5   .217
1310   Gasol,Pau       1.75   11.1   23.3   12.7   .229
 971   Durant,Kevin    1.81   11.3   23.9   10.3   .192
 962   Nowitzki,Dirk   1.89    9.5   24.3    9.8   .224
 920   Bryant,Kobe     2.06   11.9   23.7    8.9   .178
                 
673   Westbrook,Russel 1.92   11.5   23.7    8.1   .159
664   Aldridge,Lamarcu 1.63   11.0   21.8   10.0   .171
652   Ginobili,Manu    1.75    9.1   22.1    9.2   .202
652   Randolph,Zach    1.79   10.3   22.2    9.0   .176
576   Griffin,Blake    1.82   11.6   21.7    8.4   .149
562   Pierce,Paul      1.55    9.1   19.4   10.2   .202
426   Stoudemire,Amare 1.76   10.9   23.0    7.2   .134
Pretty sharp dropoff from 10 to 11, and I think only 10 can be in a poll here.
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kjb



Joined: 03 Jan 2005
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 25, 2011 10:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

If I had a vote, and I had to cast it today, I'd cast it for Lebron, who I think is having a terrific season. No way he'll get it since he's officially the latest "bad guy" in the grand tradition of pro rasslin'.

I reserve the right to change my mind at the completion of game 82, however.
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