God is my Judge

Bowl Preview, Based on Yards per Play Ratings

Methodology

Simple: take each team's points from the Yards per Play Rankings. Scale based on the pace the teams play. And type up the outcome! I also give a ranking of how good the game will be based on the quality of the teams, how well matched they are, and how "pretty" a game they play (lots of scoring, few penalties or turnovers).

Another good look at the bowl games is here: Pro-Football-Reference. I also put up there a different, simpler look at how exciting each game would be.

The Bowls

Bowl
Date Location
Team 1
Score
Team 2
Score Rating Tm1 Rating Tm2 Game Quality
New Mexico
Dec. 19 Albuquerque, NM
Fresno St
29
Wyoming
22 -4.0 -11.2 32
St. Petersburg
Dec. 19 St. Petersburg, FL
Rutgers
24
Central Florida
21 -0.8 -3.6 29
R&L Carriers New Orleans
Dec. 20 New Orleans, LA
Southern Miss
28
Middle Tennessee St
27 0.7 -0.1 18
MAACO Las Vegas
Dec. 22 Las Vegas, NV
Oregon St
28
Brigham Young
28 7.7 8.1 6
San Diego CCU Poinsettia
Dec. 23 San Diego, CA
California
26
Utah
26 6.4 6.9 13
Sheraton Hawaii
Dec. 24 Honolulu, HI
Nevada
39
SMU
22 7.1 -7.8 24
Emerald
Dec. 26 San Francisco, CA
Southern Cal
29
Boston College
19 12.8 2.0 25
Meineke Car Care
Dec. 26 Charlotte, NC
Pittsburgh
28
North Carolina
19 12.3 2.1 26
Little Caesars
Dec. 26 Detroit, MI
Ohio U.
27
Marshall
19 -3.6 -12.8 34
Gaylord Hotels Music City
Dec. 27 Nashville, TN
Clemson
30
Kentucky
22 11.5 3.6 17
Independence
Dec. 28 Shreveport, LA
Georgia
36
Texas A&M
25 12.0 3.4 12
Champs Sports
Dec. 29 Orlando, FL
Miami FL
29
Wisconsin
28 7.4 6.3 7
EagleBank 1
Dec. 29 Washington, DC
UCLA
29
Temple
19 3.6 -7.1 33
Pacific Life Holiday
Dec. 30 San Diego, CA
Nebraska
23
Arizona
22 10.7 8.8 19
Roady's Humanitarian
Dec. 30 Boise, ID
Bowling Green
27
Idaho
33 -7.7 -2.9 21
Texas
Dec. 31 Houston, TX
Missouri
32
Navy
20 8.2 -3.3 23
Bell Helicopter Armed Forces
Dec. 31 Fort Worth, TX
Houston
31
Air Force
27 4.6 0.6 10
Brut Sun
Dec. 31 El Paso, TX
Oklahoma
30
Stanford
24 15.3 9.8 9
Insight
Dec. 31 Tempe, AZ
Minnesota
25
Iowa St
23 -3.3 -6.1 30
Chick-fil-A
Dec. 31 Atlanta, GA
Virginia Tech
27
Tennessee
25 17.1 15.8 2
Outback
Jan. 1 Tampa, FL
Auburn
38
Northwestern
17 16.4 -3.5 27
Capital One
Jan. 1 Orlando, FL
Penn State
23
LSU
20 16.1 12.6 15
Konica Minolta Gator
Jan. 1 Jacksonville, FL
West Virginia
32
Florida St
22 8.3 -1.2 22
Rose presented by Citi
Jan. 1 Pasadena, CA
Oregon
28
Ohio State
24 19.5 14.9 5
Allstate Sugar
Jan. 1 New Orleans, LA
Florida
31
Cincinnati
23 29.6 21.2 1
AT&T Cotton
Jan. 2 Arlington, TX
Mississippi
27
Oklahoma St
22 13.6 8.1 14
AutoZone Liberty
Jan. 2 Memphis, TN
Arkansas
39
East Carolina
18 14.9 -4.8 28
International
Jan. 2 Toronto, Canada
South Florida
28
Northern Illinois
20 3.5 -4.4 31
Papajohns.com
Jan. 2 Birmingham, AL
South Carolina
30
Connecticut
21 11.6 2.7 20
Valero Alamo
Jan. 2 San Antonio, TX
Texas Tech
30
Michigan St
27 10.3 7.4 8
Tostitos Fiesta
Jan. 4 Glendale, AZ
TCU
33
Boise St
24 21.4 13.1 4
FedEx Orange
Jan. 5 Miami, FL
Georgia Tech
26
Iowa
25 7.4 6.2 11
GMAC
Jan. 6 Mobile, AL
Central Michigan
28
Troy
27 1.7 0.8 16
Citi National Championship
Jan. 7 Pasadena, CA
Texas
21
Alabama
28 20.6 27.9 3